There is an obesity problem. Everyone knows it. Public health authorities proclaim it. Over half the population in the US is now obese. The consequences of being obese in terms of health are serious. Solutions are proposed, but they don’t seem to work. The question that’s almost never asked, the answer to which would help us understand AND FIX the problem, is pure common sense: what started the epidemic? What changed to cause the steady rise of overweight and obese people?
The reason no one wants to ask the question is because the most probable answer is something our major institutions, Experts and Authorities don’t want us to know: Their nutrition recommendations, widely promoted and visible on most food labels that you buy, are based on bad, corrupted science.
We now know how and why the science was wrong. After much study and careful trials, we know what's right. But because of the refusal of the authorities to admit and correct their error, millions of people continue to suffer and die of diseases they would not have if our Medical Health Elites would suck it up, admit error, and fix it.
There is an epidemic of obesity
The epidemic. Well known, accepted. Here's the FDA:
Here's the CDC:
Obesity is a serious chronic disease, and the prevalence of obesity continues to increase in the United States. Obesity is common, serious, and costly. This epidemic is putting a strain on American families, affecting overall health, health care costs, productivity, and military readiness.
Is it under control? The CDC again:
From 1999 –2000 through 2017 –2018, US obesity prevalence increased from 30.5% to 42.4%. During the same time, the prevalence of severe obesity increased from 4.7% to 9.2%.
What's bad about being obese?
According to the CDC, here are some of the consequences of being obese:
What are the medical costs resulting from obesity?
A highly detailed study was published in 2021 going into depth to determine the direct medical costs of obesity.
RESULTS: Adults with obesity in the United States compared with those with normal weight experienced higher annual medical care costs by $2,505 or 100%, with costs increasing significantly with class of obesity, from 68.4% for class 1 to 233.6% for class 3. The effects of obesity raised costs in every category of care: inpatient, outpatient, and prescription drugs. ... In 2016, the aggregate medical cost due to obesity among adults in the United States was $260.6 billion.
In other words, obese people have more than double the medical care costs compared to those who are not obese. More important, the obese people themselves suffer the poor health resulting from their condition!
How are we told to prevent and/or fix it?
From the CDC:
Obesity is a complex health issue resulting from a combination of causes and individual factors such as behavior and genetics.
Healthy behaviors include regular physical activity and healthy eating. Balancing the number of calories consumed from foods and beverages with the number of calories the body uses for activity plays a role in preventing excess weight gain.
A healthy diet pattern follows the Dietary Guidelines for Americans which emphasizes eating whole grains, fruits, vegetables, lean protein, low-fat and fat-free dairy products, and drinking water.
In other words, exercise more, eat less, and follow the official diet guidelines which emphasize avoiding fat in meat and dairy.
The origins of the obesity epidemic
Did the obesity epidemic appear out of nowhere, for no reason? Nope. The key to understanding and responding to any epidemic is to trace its origins to the time and place of its start. Only then can you understand the problem and often get good ideas about how to mitigate the epidemic and prevent similar ones from getting started.
Look at this chart from the CDC:
A sharp upwards turn in Obesity and Severe Obesity took place in 1976-1980 and has continued rising. From the tables in the document from which this chart was taken, Obesity was about 14% and has risen to 43%, while Severe Obesity was about 1% and has risen to over 9%. That's about 3X and 9X increases. Total Obesity is now over 50% of the population! During this period the Overweight share has remained about the same (about 32%), which means that a large number of people "graduated" to higher levels of weight, probably many normals becoming Overweight while as many Overweights became Obese.
What happened when the "hockey stick" upwards trend in obesity started? It turns out something big happened, with lots of public attention. According to the government website on the history of nutritional guidelines:
A turning point for nutrition guidance in the U.S. began in the 1970s with the Senate Select Committee on Nutrition and Human Needs....
In 1977, after years of discussion, scientific review, and debate, the U.S. Senate Select Committee on Nutrition and Human Needs, led by Senator George McGovern, released Dietary Goals for the United States. ...
The recommendations included:
Increase the consumption of complex carbohydrates and “naturally occurring” sugars...
Reduce overall fat consumption...
Reduce saturated fat consumption to account for about 10 percent of total energy intake...
The widely publicized recommendations were followed up by the first in the series of official expert-approved documents:
In February 1980, USDA and HHS collaboratively issued Nutrition and Your Health: Dietary Guidelines for Americans,
It's important to note that the focus was NOT on obesity. It was on diet-related health, with a particular focus on heart disease. The consensus of Expert opinion at the time was that eating saturated fat causes heart disease. In an effort to reduce heart disease, the authorities started the drum-beat of "Stay healthy! Eat less saturated Fat!"
Obesity took off when we obeyed the Experts
The new dietary advice was shouted from the hill tops. It was pushed by government agencies. It was endorsed by every major health institution, and pushed by nutritionists and doctors everywhere. It was emblazoned on food packaging by law, each package stating how much of the evil, heart-killing saturated fat was in each serving, and how much of your "daily allowance" it used up.
The food that was offered in grocery stores and restaurants changed to reflect the "scientific" consensus. Bacon was bad. If you had to eat meat (even though you shouldn't), you should eat lean (no fat) meat. All these things are still what we see!
Here is a study based on the US National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) that demonstrates the strong linkage between the diet recommendations and the growth of obesity.
From a valuable study on obesity (behind a paywall):
When we put together the following…
1) Obesity is not a simplistic imbalance of energy in and energy out, but a far more complex matter of how, biochemically, the body can store or utilize fat. Carbohydrate is the best macronutrient to facilitate fat storage and prevent fat utilization.
2) Fat/protein calories have jobs to do within the body – they can be used for basal metabolic repair and maintenance. Carbohydrate is for energy alone; it needs to be burned as fuel or it will be stored as fat.
… carbohydrates can be seen as uniquely suited to weight gain and uniquely unsuited to weight loss. The macronutrient that we have been advising people to eat more of is the very macronutrient that enables fat to be stored and disables fat from being utilized.
Increasingly people ate what they were told to eat. Young people grew up eating in the new style, with vastly more packaged foods, sugar and carbohydrates than earlier generations. No surprise, they got fat early in life, and stayed fat.
Marty Makary MD, surgeon and Professor at Johns Hopkins,
treats this from a different angle in his recent book.
Dr. Dariush Mozaffarian, dean of Tufts University’s Friedman School of Nutrition—the nation’s leading nutrition school ... recently wrote in the Journal of the American Medical Association, “We really need to sing it from the rooftops that the low-fat diet concept is dead, there are no health benefits to it.” As a gastrointestinal surgeon and advocate for healthful foods, I’m well aware how this low-fat teaching is based on the medical establishment’s embarrassing, outdated theory that saturated fat causes heart disease. A landmark 2016 article in the Journal of the American Medical Association found that the true science was actually being suppressed by the food industry. Highly respected medical experts like my former Johns Hopkins colleague Dr. Peter Attia are now correcting the medical establishment’s sloppy teachings. He and many other lipidologists know that the low-fat bandwagon has damaged public health. It was driven by an unscientific agenda advanced by the American Heart Association and the food industry, which sponsored the misleading food pyramid. These establishment forces spent decades promoting addictive, high-carbohydrate processed foods because the low-fat foods they endorsed require more carbohydrates to retain flavor. That 40-year trend perfectly parallels our obesity epidemic. Medical leaders like Dr. Attia have been trying to turn this aircraft carrier around, but it’s been a challenge. Despite the science, the dogma remains pervasive. In hospitals today, the first thing we do to patients when they come out of surgery, exhausted and bleary-eyed, is to hand them a can of high-sugar soda. Menus given to hospitalized patients promote low-fat options with a heart next to those menu items. And when physicians order food for patients in electronic health records, there’s a checkbox for us to order the “cardiac diet,” which hospitals define as a low-fat diet. Despite science showing that natural fats pose no increased risk of heart disease and that excess sugar is the real dietary threat to health, my hospital still hands every patient a pamphlet recommending the “low-fat diet” when they’re discharged from the cardiac surgery unit, just as we have been doing for nearly a half century. But nowhere is that now debunked low-fat recommendation propagated as much as in wellness programs.
For more study
The experts are clear on this subject. You already know this, but here are highlights of their views on fat and on cholesterol. Here is background on how saturated and cholesterol became menaces. Here is why you should eat lots of saturated fat and why should not take drugs to lower your cholesterol.
With the billion-dollar-revenue American Heart Association continuing to villanize saturated fat, this insanity is unlikely to stop soon.
Before all this nonsense began...
We had a sensible approach to obesity:
Conclusion
The cause of the obesity epidemic is clear. No one talks about it because the people in charge refuse to admit their role in causing it. As the evidence from RCT's continues to pile up, careful reading shows that the emphatic language about saturated fat has lightened up a bit, but we're not even close to the equivalent of acknowledging, for example, that smoking cigarettes is bad for you. We should be shouting "eat lots of natural saturated fat, the kind in meat, milk, cheese and eggs." We're not there yet. Educated people can nonetheless make their own decisions and do just that -- and improve their health as a result.